Bucks vs. Celtics game prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Model Game 3 bets on 86-58 run

The Milwaukee Bucks host the Boston Celtics for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals on Saturday afternoon in the 2022 NBA Playoffs. Milwaukee won Game 1 of the series before Boston responded with a victory in the game 2 at home. The Bucks have the next two games at home, putting pressure on the visiting Celtics. Khris Middleton (knee) is listed as out for Milwaukee, with George Hill (abdomen) listed as likely. Marcus Smart (thigh) is listed as likely for Boston.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as the home two-point favorite for this 3:30 p.m. ET tip. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the most-under, is 211.5 in the latest Celtics vs. Bucks odds. Before making Celtics vs. Bucks picks, you must see NBA predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has earned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA Picks over the past three seasons. The model enters the third full week of the 2022 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 86-58 result over all NBA top picks, grossing over $2,100. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Celticsand just locked in his picks and predictions for the NBA playoffs. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices.. Now here are several NBA Odds and the betting lines for the Celtics vs Bucks:

  • Difference Celtics vs Bucks: Bucks -2
  • Celtics vs. Bucks over-under: 211.5 points
  • Celtics vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -130, Celtics +110
  • BOS: Celtics are 4-2 ATS in playoff games
  • MIL: Bucks are 4-3 ATS in playoff games

Why the Celtics can cover

The Celtics have intriguing offensive potential. Boston generates an assist on 74.2% of field goals in the series against the elite Bucks, and the Celtics connect on nearly 38% of 3-point attempts in the playoffs. Boston was also in the top 10 for regular-season offenses, with a pair of star-level wings in Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown who can create effective shots. At the other end of the field, Boston is unquestionably the elite.

The Celtics led the NBA in defensive efficiency, field goal percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed, 2-point percentage allowed, and assists allowed during the regular season marathon. Boston is also thwarting Milwaukee’s offense by keeping the Bucks under 0.96 points per possession this season. The Celtics are adept at forcing missed shots, and Boston is keeping Milwaukee out of the offensive glass with a 74.5% defensive rebound rate in the series. Boston also has various bodies to throw at Giannis Antetokounmpo, with Grant Williams, Al Horford, Tatum and Robert Williams III all operating at a very high level defensively.

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee has a roster capable of shining either way. On offense, the Bucks have ranked in the NBA’s top five on offense this season, averaging 114.3 points per 100 possessions. Milwaukee is prolific from 3-pointers, making 36.6% of attempts in 2021-22, and the Bucks ranked in the top 10 for 2-point accuracy and free throw creation in the regular season. It’s all about Antetokounmpo, who averaged 29.9 points, 11.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game as an MVP finalist, and the Bucks are terrific on defense as well.

Milwaukee leads the 2022 NBA Playoffs with a defensive rating of 96.8, and the Bucks are getting 80.5% of the defensive rebounds available in the playoffs. In the series, the Bucks hold Boston to 1.03 points per possession, an elite number, and Milwaukee force a turnover on 17.7% of defensive possessions. With Brook Lopez now at full strength, the Bucks are nearly impossible to score on the edge, and the Bucks are now looking to a friendly home environment.

How to make choices between Bucks and Celtics

SportsLine’s model leans into the total, projecting a combined 220 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s Celtics vs. Bucks pick on SportsLine.

So who wins the Bucks against the Celtics? And which side of the gap hits in more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bucks vs. Celtics spread you should jump to, all from the model who crushed his NBA picksand find out.

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